Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Ultramarina and Santa Maria finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ultramarina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ultramarina come out ahead of Santa Maria on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ultramarina | Santa Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 5 |
| Wins | 10 | 0 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Santa Maria conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Ultramarina's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Difficult form: Santa Maria registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ultramarina
(Home)Santa Maria
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica Praia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Mindelense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Onze Unidos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Santa Maria | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 6 | Foguetoes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:15 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Praia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 13 |
| 2 | SC do Porto Novo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Vulcanico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Morabeza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 5 | Estrela dos Amadores | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Academica Boavista | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 1 |