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Ultramarina vs Santo Crucifixo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Ultramarina and Santo Crucifixo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ultramarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ultramarina
30%
Draws
34%
Santo Crucifixo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ultramarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santo Crucifixo haven't matched Ultramarina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ultramarina's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 17%
Santo Crucifixo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Santo Crucifixo
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Santo Crucifixo
2:1
Apr 6, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Santo Crucifixo vs Ultramarina
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 36 / 100
Santo Crucifixo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Santo Crucifixo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Santo Crucifixo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ultramarina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS Santo Crucifixo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense63218:411
2Academica Praia62224:48
3Academica Porto Novo61417:97
4Academica do Fogo60423:54
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ultramarina632113:911
2Santo Crucifixo62227:58
3Sporting da Brava62229:128
4Academico 8361238:115
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oasis63217:811
2Onze Estrelas63125:410
3Celtic62316:19
4GD Varandinha60244:92