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Ulverstone vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Westside Park
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tooze S.
6' Event
Milicich N.
45' Event
Hatcher M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Ulverstone and Clarence Zebras finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clarence Zebras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ulverstone
22%
Draws
60%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulverstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Clarence Zebras a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulverstone Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Clarence Zebras
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Tooze S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Milicich N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulverstone 18 / 100
Clarence Zebras 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulverstone Clarence Zebras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clarence Zebras let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ulverstone scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Ulverstone stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulverstone VS Clarence Zebras
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%