Sport Picks
Ulyanovsk vs Fakel Voronezh
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk 
Match Events
39'
39'
Yurganov I.
54'
54'
Khabibullin A.
57'
57'
Yakovlev V.
AI Match Summary
Fakel Voronezh in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fakel Voronezh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulyanovsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Ulyanovsk have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Ulyanovsk taking it.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulyanovsk | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Fakel Voronezh
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Ulyanovsk
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulyanovsk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Turishchev M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gabaraev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulyanovsk 95 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulyanovsk Fakel Voronezh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ulyanovsk scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Ulyanovsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ulyanovsk VS Fakel Voronezh
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulyanovsk
(Home) 18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
30 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
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18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Ulyanovsk
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
25 Jul
Ulyanovsk
2 : 0 Neftekhimik
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Fakel Voronezh
(Away) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
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16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
15 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2 Fakel Voronezh
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
