Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Trud Stadium

Ulyanovsk

0 - 3

Fakel Voronezh

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Yurganov I.

54'

Khabibullin A.

57'

Yakovlev V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fakel Voronezh in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fakel Voronezh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ulyanovsk

Draws

90%

Fakel Voronezh

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fakel Voronezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fakel Voronezh have won more games recently than Ulyanovsk.
90% — that's where the model lands on Fakel Voronezh taking it.
Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 17%

Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulyanovsk	Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	9	10
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	0.75	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL

Ulyanovsk vs Fakel Voronezh

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Oct 4, 2025 FNL

Fakel Voronezh vs Ulyanovsk

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulyanovsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Fakel Voronezh Compare

Top Goalscorer Turishchev M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gabaraev A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 10 / 100

Fakel Voronezh 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulyanovsk Fakel Voronezh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulyanovsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fakel Voronezh has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Ulyanovsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Fakel Voronezh

0.75 Goals Scored 1.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22