Sport Picks
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk 
Match Events
17'
17'
Bagatelia L.
32'
32'
Sub
Yakovlev V. In: Novikov D.
Out: Yakovlev V.
40'
40'
Kakhidze A.
AI Match Summary
Ulyanovsk in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulyanovsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulyanovsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Neftekhimik at 1.03 per game, Ulyanovsk at 1.
- Ulyanovsk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 68%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulyanovsk | Neftekhimik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
2:0
May 10, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
1:4
Nov 20, 2022 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Nov 2, 2022 Russian Cup
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulyanovsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikitin A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saplinov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Neftekhimik Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulyanovsk 59 / 100
Neftekhimik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulyanovsk Neftekhimik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Ulyanovsk's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Neftekhimik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Ulyanovsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ulyanovsk VS Neftekhimik
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulyanovsk
(Home) 04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Ulyanovsk
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 3
Neftekhimik
(Away) 09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
24 Aug
R. Volgograd
0 : 1 Neftekhimik
08 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 1 Neftekhimik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
