Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulyanovsk host Neftekhimik in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ulyanovsk at 0.88 goals for, 1.5 against; Neftekhimik at 1.25 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Ulyanovsk slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Ulyanovsk. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ulyanovsk
40%
Draws
29%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulyanovsk lately — more wins on the board than Neftekhimik.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 17%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Neftekhimik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
1:4
Nov 20, 2022 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Nov 2, 2022 Russian Cup
Neftekhimik vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Jul 30, 2022 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 31 / 100
Neftekhimik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Neftekhimik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ulyanovsk's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Neftekhimik has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Ulyanovsk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Neftekhimik
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ufa11003:03
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod11004:23
3Chelyabinsk11003:13
4S. Kostroma11003:13
5Yenisey11002:13
6Arsenal Tula11002:13
7Torpedo Moscow11001:03
8Veles Moscow11001:03
9Shinnik Yaroslavl10102:21
10PFC Sochi10102:21
11Tekstilshtik10011:20
12Ulyanovsk10011:20
13Ural10010:10
14Neftekhimik10010:10
15R. Volgograd10012:40
16SKA Khabarovsk10011:30
17Kamaz10011:30
18Leningradets10010:30