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Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulyanovsk host Torpedo Moscow in the FNL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Ulyanovsk at 1.11 goals for, 1.25 against; Torpedo Moscow at 1.59 for, 0.79 against. Head-to-head, Ulyanovsk have won 2 to Torpedo Moscow's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Torpedo Moscow. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ulyanovsk
35%
Draws
32%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ulyanovsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 20%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.11 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
3:1
Jun 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 36 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Torpedo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ulyanovsk stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ulyanovsk scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Torpedo Moscow conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Torpedo Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
31 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 1
Tekstilshtik
25 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
18 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
14 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
FC Murom
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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Torpedo Moscow

(Away)
01 Nov
Kamaz
1 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
23 Oct
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
R. Volgograd
17 Oct
Yenisey
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
10 Oct
Leningradets
1 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16 14 1 1 48:15 43
2 PFC Sochi 16 10 2 4 26:17 32
3 Ural 16 9 4 3 27:11 31
4 Torpedo Moscow 16 8 5 3 28:13 29
5 S. Kostroma 16 8 4 4 22:16 28
6 Veles Moscow 17 8 4 5 21:20 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 5 8 3 20:17 23
8 Ulyanovsk 17 6 4 7 22:23 22
9 Ufa 16 5 7 4 18:15 22
10 R. Volgograd 16 5 5 6 23:18 20
11 Arsenal Tula 16 5 4 7 19:33 19
12 Chelyabinsk 16 5 3 8 21:26 18
13 Leningradets 16 4 5 7 15:26 17
14 Kamaz 16 3 5 8 20:28 14
15 Yenisey 16 3 5 8 16:33 14
16 SKA Khabarovsk 16 3 4 9 20:28 13
17 Neftekhimik 16 4 1 11 11:24 13
18 Tekstilshtik 16 2 5 9 12:26 11
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)