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Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Veles Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulyanovsk host Veles Moscow in the FNL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ulyanovsk have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Veles Moscow's 1.15 scored and 1.22 conceded. Head-to-head, Ulyanovsk have won 4 to Veles Moscow's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ulyanovsk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ulyanovsk
20%
Draws
29%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ulyanovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Veles Moscow average 1.15 goals a game right now, well clear of Ulyanovsk's 1.03.
  • Model gives Ulyanovsk a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ulyanovsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 20%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Veles Moscow
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Jul 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
0:2
May 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Veles Moscow
3:2
Nov 12, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 40 / 100
Veles Moscow 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Veles Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulyanovsk's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Veles Moscow conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ulyanovsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Veles Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
14 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
FC Murom
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
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Veles Moscow

(Away)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 14 12 1 1 43:15 37
2 PFC Sochi 14 9 2 3 23:14 29
3 Torpedo Moscow 14 8 3 3 26:11 27
4 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
6 Ural 14 7 4 3 22:10 25
7 Ufa 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
9 R. Volgograd 14 5 3 6 22:17 18
10 Ulyanovsk 15 5 3 7 20:22 18
11 Arsenal Tula 14 4 4 6 15:26 16
12 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
13 Yenisey 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
14 Kamaz 14 3 4 7 16:23 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 SKA Khabarovsk 14 1 4 9 15:28 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)