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Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Samgurali

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ulytau
20%
Draws
16%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ulytau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Samgurali have won more games recently than Ulytau.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 13%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Samgurali
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Ulytau vs Samgurali
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 30 / 100
Samgurali 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulytau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ulytau scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Samgurali lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Samgurali
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1
Ulytau
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Samgurali

(Away)
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1
Samgurali
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