Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bugulov G.
Assist: Malikaydar S.
31'
Martin D.
31'
Nepogodov D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulytau and Yelimay Semey finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulytau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulytau
44%
Draws
20%
Yelimay Semey
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Yelimay Semey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 19%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Yelimay Semey
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey
0:3
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugulov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Yelimay Semey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 36 / 100
Yelimay Semey 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Yelimay Semey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yelimay Semey conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ulytau scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Ulytau has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Yelimay Semey
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211