Sport Picks
UM Escobedo vs Arenas De Frajanas
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
UM Escobedo in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UM Escobedo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UM Escobedo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to UM Escobedo lately — more wins on the board than Arenas De Frajanas.
- UM Escobedo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 19%
Arenas De Frajanas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UM Escobedo | Arenas De Frajanas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Arenas De Frajanas vs UM Escobedo
2:2
Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Arenas De Frajanas
1:1
Mar 24, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Arenas De Frajanas
4:1
Oct 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Arenas De Frajanas vs UM Escobedo
0:2
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Arenas De Frajanas vs UM Escobedo
2:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UM Escobedo 40 / 100
Arenas De Frajanas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UM Escobedo Arenas De Frajanas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UM Escobedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenas De Frajanas has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
UM Escobedo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: UM Escobedo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UM Escobedo VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UM Escobedo
(Home) 03 Oct
Solares
0 : 0 UM Escobedo
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1 Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0 UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3 Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1 Selaya
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3 Bezana
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0 CD Laredo
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2 Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0 Vimenor
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Arenas De Frajanas
(Away) 16 May
Arenas De Frajanas
2 : 0 Gama
10 May
CD Colindres
2 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
02 May
Arenas De Frajanas
1 : 2 Cayon CD
29 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
4 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
25 Apr
Arenas De Frajanas
1 : 1 Castro
Page 1 of 6
10 May
CD Colindres
2 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
29 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
4 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
18 Apr
Bezana
2 : 1 Arenas De Frajanas
05 Apr
Santona
1 : 0 Arenas De Frajanas
28 Mar
Selaya
2 : 2 Arenas De Frajanas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Noja | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 102:30 | 87 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85:40 | 85 |
| 3 | Rayo Cantabria | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 91:30 | 78 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 58:36 | 78 |
| 5 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 84:43 | 75 |
| 6 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 63:50 | 68 |
| 7 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 61:49 | 65 |
| 8 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 75:53 | 59 |
| 9 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 58:60 | 50 |
| 10 | Castro | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 62:63 | 48 |
| 11 | Guarnizo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Vimenor | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 45:65 | 45 |
| 13 | Pontejos | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 50:65 | 41 |
| 14 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:71 | 40 |
| 15 | Bezana | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 43:66 | 38 |
| 16 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 50:69 | 38 |
| 17 | San Martin Arena | 38 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 44:68 | 34 |
| 18 | Buelna | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 36:76 | 33 |
| 19 | CD Barquereno | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35:72 | 29 |
| 20 | Arenas De Frajanas | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 30:108 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
