Sport Picks
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
29'
29'
Garcia A.
35'
35'
Pena G. B.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Fernandez C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UM Escobedo and CD Colindres finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UM Escobedo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Colindres haven't matched UM Escobedo's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans UM Escobedo's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors UM Escobedo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 18%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UM Escobedo | CD Colindres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs UM Escobedo
0:2
Jan 4, 2025 Club Friendly
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs UM Escobedo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UM Escobedo Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
CD Colindres Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bustamante A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UM Escobedo 40 / 100
CD Colindres 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UM Escobedo CD Colindres
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UM Escobedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UM Escobedo scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: CD Colindres conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: UM Escobedo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UM Escobedo VS CD Colindres
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
UM Escobedo
(Home) 12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3 Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1 UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0 CD Laredo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7 UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3 Bezana
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0 CD Laredo
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2 Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0 Vimenor
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1 UC Cartes
Page 1 of 4
CD Colindres
(Away) 09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3 Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
29 Mar
Cayon CD
1 : 2 CD Colindres
14 Mar
UM Escobedo
3 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
