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UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Garcia A.
35' Event
Pena G. B.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Fernandez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UM Escobedo and CD Colindres finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UM Escobedo
6%
Draws
4%
CD Colindres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UM Escobedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Colindres haven't matched UM Escobedo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UM Escobedo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UM Escobedo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 18%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo CD Colindres
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 18 7
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs UM Escobedo
0:2
Jan 4, 2025 Club Friendly
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Colindres
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs UM Escobedo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bustamante A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 85 / 100
CD Colindres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo CD Colindres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UM Escobedo scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: CD Colindres conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: UM Escobedo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS CD Colindres
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0
Vimenor
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CD Colindres

(Away)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13CD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)