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UM Escobedo vs CD Montanas del Pas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garcia A.
8' Event
Fontan E.
24' Event
Lopez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UM Escobedo and CD Montanas del Pas finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UM Escobedo
20%
Draws
51%
CD Montanas del Pas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Montanas del Pas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UM Escobedo come out ahead of CD Montanas del Pas on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Montanas del Pas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo CD Montanas del Pas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Montanas del Pas vs UM Escobedo
3:7
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Montanas del Pas
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fontan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CD Montanas del Pas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 36 / 100
CD Montanas del Pas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo CD Montanas del Pas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Montanas del Pas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Montanas del Pas has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

UM Escobedo's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: UM Escobedo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS CD Montanas del Pas
2 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
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CD Montanas del Pas

(Away)
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
25 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)