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UM Escobedo vs CD Revilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UM Escobedo host CD Revilla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 3. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. UM Escobedo have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against CD Revilla's 1.33 scored and 1.58 conceded. Past meetings favor UM Escobedo slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring UM Escobedo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
UM Escobedo
35%
Draws
40%
CD Revilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Revilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UM Escobedo lately — more wins on the board than CD Revilla.
  • Model gives CD Revilla a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 16%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo CD Revilla
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Revilla
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs UM Escobedo
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs UM Escobedo
1:0
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Revilla
4:1
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Revilla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 15 / 100
CD Revilla 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo CD Revilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Revilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UM Escobedo scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

CD Revilla has conceded goals in 75% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

UM Escobedo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS CD Revilla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
03 Oct
Solares
0 : 0
UM Escobedo
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 7

CD Revilla

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Atletico Albericia
27 Sept
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
CD Revilla
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0
Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)