Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umayya vs Al Jaish

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Wais A.

AI Match Summary

Al Jaish in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Jaish.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Umayya
15%
Draws
46%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Jaish

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Umayya haven't matched Al Jaish's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Umayya a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Jaish here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Umayya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Jaish
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Umayya
2:1
Apr 17, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Jaish
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Jaish
0:3
Jul 31, 2011 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Umayya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Wais A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 40 / 100
Al Jaish 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Al Jaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umayya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umayya scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Al Jaish has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Umayya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umayya VS Al Jaish
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Umayya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

Al Jaish

(Away)
03 Jul
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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