Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umayya vs Al Jaish

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umayya play Al Jaish in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umayya averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Al Jaish averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Umayya won 0, Al Jaish won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Umayya and 1.19 for Al Jaish. This points to a Al Jaish double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Umayya
31%
Draws
47%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Al Jaish

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Umayya picked up more points recently compared to Al Jaish.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Umayya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Jaish
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Umayya
2:1
Apr 17, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Jaish
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Jaish
0:3
Jul 31, 2011 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Umayya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Wais A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 24 / 100
Al Jaish 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Al Jaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Jaish or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umayya attacking → ← attacking Al Jaish

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umayya scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al Jaish let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Umayya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Jaish lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 41
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117