Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umayya vs Al Taliya

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Kouyate B.

AI Match Summary

Umayya in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umayya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Umayya
15%
Draws
51%
Al Taliya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Taliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Taliya have won more games recently than Umayya.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Umayya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Taliya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Al Taliya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Taliya
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Umayya
1:0
Apr 30, 2013 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Umayya
2:1
Mar 18, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Taliya
1:1
Apr 8, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Taliya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Taliya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 36 / 100
Al Taliya 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Al Taliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Taliya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umayya's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Taliya conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Umayya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umayya VS Al Taliya
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umayya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

Al Taliya

(Away)
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
14 Jun
Al Taliya
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)