Sport Picks
Umayya vs Damascus Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Syria
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Muhtadi M. R.
80'
80'
Ouattara M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al Ahli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Umayya haven't matched Damascus Al Ahli's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Damascus Al Ahli taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Umayya Clean Sheet 16%
Damascus Al Ahli Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umayya | Damascus Al Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Damascus Al Ahli
1:1
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Umayya
1:2
Apr 1, 2014 Premier League
Umayya vs Damascus Al Ahli
1:1
Feb 4, 2014 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Umayya
1:0
Apr 25, 2013 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Umayya
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umayya Compare
Top Goalscorer Muhtadi M. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Damascus Al Ahli Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouattara M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umayya 19 / 100
Damascus Al Ahli 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umayya Damascus Al Ahli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Damascus Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Damascus Al Ahli conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Umayya found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Umayya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Umayya VS Damascus Al Ahli
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Umayya
(Home) 04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1 Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2 Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shouleh
0 : 1 Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0 Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1 Umayya
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2 Al Shorta
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0 Al Taliya
30 May
Umayya
1 : 1 Damascus Al Ahli
19 May
Umayya
2 : 0 Khan Shaykhun
09 May
Umayya
0 : 1 Al Jaish
Page 1 of 3
Damascus Al Ahli
(Away) 04 Jul
Damascus Al Ahli
3 : 2 Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3 Damascus Al Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3 Damascus Al Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
4 : 1 Jableh
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3 Damascus Al Ahli
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3 Damascus Al Ahli
30 May
Umayya
1 : 1 Damascus Al Ahli
19 May
Al Shorta
1 : 2 Damascus Al Ahli
08 May
Al Taliya
1 : 1 Damascus Al Ahli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad Aleppo | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 83:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Homs Al Fidaa | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 55:12 | 72 |
| 3 | Al Wahda | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 53:24 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Karamah | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 55:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Al Taliya | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:24 | 47 |
| 6 | Hottin | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Tishreen | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42:34 | 44 |
| 8 | Al Jaish | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 9 | Damascus Al Ahli | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 10 | Horriya | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 30:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29:47 | 33 |
| 12 | Foutoua | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 36:53 | 30 |
| 13 | Umayya | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27:44 | 24 |
| 14 | Khan Shaykhun | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:53 | 23 |
| 15 | Jableh | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27:60 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Shouleh | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14:51 | 17 |
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