Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umayya vs Jableh

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Muhtadi M. R.
71' Event
Al Ghamdi N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Umayya and Jableh finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umayya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Umayya
15%
Draws
0%
Jableh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umayya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jableh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Umayya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Umayya Clean Sheet 68%
Jableh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Jableh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Jableh
2:0
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Jableh vs Umayya
2:2
Mar 19, 2010 Premier League
Jableh vs Umayya
0:2
Nov 2, 2009 Premier League
Umayya vs Jableh
2:1
Apr 17, 2009 Premier League
Umayya vs Jableh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhtadi M. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghamdi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jableh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 95 / 100
Jableh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Jableh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umayya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jableh has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Jableh has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Umayya scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Umayya VS Jableh
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umayya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

Jableh

(Away)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)