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Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lantz F.
74' Event
Eriksson V.
89' Event
Cederblad E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Umea FC Akademi and IFK Lulea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umea FC Akademi
6%
Draws
90%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • IFK Lulea has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Umea FC Akademi.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for IFK Lulea.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norrland 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi IFK Lulea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.5 3
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cederblad E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lantz F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100
IFK Lulea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi IFK Lulea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC Akademi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

IFK Lulea let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Umea FC Akademi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

IFK Lulea lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS IFK Lulea
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pitea1292129:935
2IFK Ostersund1272325:1929
3Skelleftea1246228:1722
4IFK Lulea1252522:2119
5Kubikenborgs1242615:2016
6Gottne IF1241713:2313
7Umea FC Akademi12111013:368