Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025

Umea FC Akademi

0 - 4

Skelleftea

Our Tip

Match Events

Backstrom H.

27'

Nylander A.

31'

Backstrom H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Umea FC Akademi and Skelleftea finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Umea FC Akademi

Draws

90%

Skelleftea

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Skelleftea carry the better recent record into this one.
Skelleftea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Skelleftea Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umea FC Akademi	Skelleftea
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	7	16
Draws	6	10
Losses	18	6
Goals Scored	1.38	2.13
Goals Conceded	2.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland

Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland

Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sep 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland

Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Aug 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland

Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland

Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Backstrom H.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nylander A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100

Skelleftea 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umea FC Akademi Skelleftea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Umea FC Akademi scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Skelleftea has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Umea FC Akademi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS Skelleftea

1.38 Goals Scored 2.13

2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pitea	12	9	2	1	29:9	35
2	IFK Ostersund	12	7	2	3	25:19	29
3	Skelleftea	12	4	6	2	28:17	22
4	IFK Lulea	12	5	2	5	22:21	19
5	Kubikenborgs	12	4	2	6	15:20	16
6	Gottne IF	12	4	1	7	13:23	13
7	Umea FC Akademi	12	1	1	10	13:36	8