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Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Jamehdar S.
68' Event
Larsson A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umea FC Akademi
6%
Draws
90%
Skelleftea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skelleftea have won more games recently than Umea FC Akademi.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Skelleftea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Skelleftea
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
4:0
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
2:2
Aug 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamehdar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100
Skelleftea 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Skelleftea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Umea FC Akademi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Skelleftea has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Umea FC Akademi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS Skelleftea
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC Akademi

(Home)
21 Jun
Skelleftea
4 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
15 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 3
IFK Umea
08 Jun
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
03 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
30 May
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 6

Skelleftea

(Away)
27 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Skelleftea
21 Jun
Skelleftea
4 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
06 Jun
Skelleftea
3 : 0
IFK Umea
03 Jun
Storfors AIK
1 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)