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Umea FC vs FC Arlanda

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Umea Energi Arena, Umea
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Yemane Y. In: Strangborn F.
Out: Yemane Y.
46'
Sub
Hadad R. In: Rhodin F.
Out: Hadad R.
68'
Yeboah E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Umea FC and FC Arlanda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umea FC
6%
Draws
90%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Arlanda come out ahead of Umea FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Arlanda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 16%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC FC Arlanda
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs FC Arlanda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Antholm I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC 10 / 100
FC Arlanda 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

FC Arlanda let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Umea FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC VS FC Arlanda
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC

(Home)
02 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Umea FC
26 Jul
Umea FC
1 : 0
Taftea IK
28 Jun
Umea FC
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
21 Jun
Enkopings SK
3 : 1
Umea FC
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
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FC Arlanda

(Away)
25 Jul
FC Arlanda
6 : 1
Haninge
27 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
Karlstad
23 Jun
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
18 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
IFK Stocksund
13 Jun
FC Jarfalla
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2FC Stockholm Internazionale1593332:1430
3Karlstad1493222:930
4FC Arlanda1485123:1029
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1573523:2224
7Karlbergs1563625:2321
8AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
9Assyriska FF1545624:2917
10Gefle1552819:2917
11Umea FC1444620:2416
12FC Jarfalla1543821:3115
13Vasalund1443720:3015
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea15231016:349
16IFK Stocksund1515928:388
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)