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Stadium Background

Umea FF vs Fransta IK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland Umea Energi Arena SOL, Umea
Umea FF Logo

Umea FF

2 - 3
FT
Fransta IK Logo

Fransta IK

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Abera S.
52' Event
Gihuri J.
63' Event
Alshiekhkhalil O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Umea FF and Fransta IK finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fransta IK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Umea FF
15%
Draws
64%
Fransta IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fransta IK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fransta IK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fransta IK a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Fransta IK here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%
Fransta IK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FF Fransta IK
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FF
3:2
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FF
1:1
May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Fransta IK
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alshiekhkhalil O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Fransta IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Abera S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gihuri J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FF 10 / 100
Fransta IK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FF Fransta IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fransta IK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fransta IK has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Umea FF scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Umea FF stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FF VS Fransta IK
2.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FF

(Home)
03 Oct
Umea FF
0 : 4
Friska Viljor
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
Page 1 of 6

Fransta IK

(Away)
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Friska Viljor
3 : 0
Fransta IK
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)