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Umea W vs Alingsas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Umea Energi Arena, Umea
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umea W host Alingsas W in the Elitettan Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Umea W at 1.97 goals for, 1.17 against; Alingsas W at 0.86 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, Umea W have won 0 to Alingsas W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.76, favoring Umea W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Umea W
20%
Draws
19%
Alingsas W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Umea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Umea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elitettan Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alingsas W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Umea W Clean Sheet 20%
Alingsas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea W Alingsas W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Elitettan Women
Alingsas W vs Umea W
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Alingsas W
1:3
May 18, 2024 Elitettan Women
Alingsas W vs Umea W
3:0
Jul 8, 2023 Elitettan Women
Alingsas W vs Umea W
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Alingsas W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea W 85 / 100
Alingsas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea W Alingsas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Umea W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Umea W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alingsas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Umea W VS Alingsas W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea W

(Home)
01 Nov
Umea W
3 : 0
Orebro SK W
24 Oct
Trelleborg W
0 : 4
Umea W
17 Oct
Linkoping W
0 : 0
Umea W
04 Oct
Umea W
2 : 0
Husqvarna W
26 Sept
Sandviken W
1 : 2
Umea W
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Alingsas W

(Away)
30 Oct
Elfsborg W
0 : 0
Alingsas W
24 Oct
Alingsas W
0 : 2
KIF Orebro W
17 Oct
Alingsas W
2 : 0
Hacken B W
08 Oct
Alingsas W
0 : 3
Elfsborg W
04 Oct
IFK Goteborg W
2 : 1
Alingsas W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elfsborg W 24 16 7 1 47:13 55
2 IFK Goteborg W 24 16 6 2 62:25 54
3 KIF Orebro W 24 17 2 5 59:29 53
4 Umea W 24 13 5 6 44:24 44
5 Linkoping W 24 13 4 7 41:33 43
6 Trelleborg W 24 10 5 9 33:38 35
7 Husqvarna W 24 9 6 9 32:34 33
8 Jitex W 24 8 7 9 35:38 31
9 Enskede W 24 7 5 12 33:43 26
10 Orebro SK W 24 7 5 12 27:43 26
11 Gamla Upsala W 24 6 5 13 27:37 23
12 Alingsas W 24 5 8 11 20:31 23
13 Sandviken W 24 3 5 16 25:66 14
14 Hacken B W 24 2 2 20 23:54 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)