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Umea W vs Hovas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Orji E.
56' Event
Kullberg E.
77' Event
Norberg M.

AI Match Summary

The Elitettan Women 2017 game between Umea W and Hovas W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Umea W
15%
Draws
0%
Hovas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Umea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elitettan Women 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Umea W Clean Sheet 17%
Hovas W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea W Hovas W
Matches Played 50 32
Wins 26 2
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.86 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2017 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Hovas W
3:0
Jun 10, 2017 Elitettan Women
Hovas W vs Umea W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orji E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kullberg E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Hovas W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea W 84 / 100
Hovas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea W Hovas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hovas W let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Umea W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hovas W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Umea W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (50 games).

Scoring Trends

Umea W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea W

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea W
2 : 0
Husqvarna W
26 Sept
Sandviken W
1 : 2
Umea W
23 Sept
Sandviken W
2 : 6
Umea W
20 Sept
Umea W
5 : 1
Enskede W
12 Sept
Hacken B W
0 : 2
Umea W
Page 1 of 10

Hovas W

(Away)
12 Nov
Kungsbacka W
1 : 0
Hovas W
04 Nov
Hovas W
0 : 1
AIK W
28 Oct
Kalmar W
7 : 1
Hovas W
14 Oct
Umea W
3 : 0
Hovas W
07 Oct
Hovas W
2 : 3
Mallbacken W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaxjo DFF W 26 22 3 1 83:17 69
2 Kalmar W 26 17 4 5 68:41 55
3 AIK W 26 16 4 6 53:25 52
4 Assi W 26 14 5 7 47:37 47
5 Kungsbacka W 26 12 5 9 43:36 41
6 Umea W 26 11 7 8 41:27 40
7 Vasteras BK 30 W 26 10 5 11 44:51 35
8 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 26 9 7 10 39:36 34
9 Mallbacken W 26 9 5 12 33:38 32
10 Sundsvall W 26 9 2 15 37:50 29
11 Boljan W 26 6 6 14 24:41 24
12 Holmalunds W 26 6 6 14 24:53 24
13 Ostersund W 26 6 4 16 24:55 22
14 Hovas W 26 1 5 20 14:67 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2018 (Main)