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Umea W vs Sundsvall W Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2024 Umea Energi Arena, Umea
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Farlini Winter A.
30' Event
Orji E.
36'
Amcoff I.

AI Match Summary

The Elitettan Women 2024 game between Umea W and Sundsvall W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sundsvall W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Umea W
20%
Draws
20%
Sundsvall W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Umea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Umea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elitettan Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Umea W Clean Sheet 68%
Sundsvall W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea W Sundsvall W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Elitettan Women
Sundsvall W vs Umea W
0:3
Jun 20, 2024 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Sundsvall W
0:1
Aug 20, 2023 Elitettan Women
Sundsvall W vs Umea W
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Sundsvall W
3:1
Mar 26, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Sundsvall W vs Umea W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sundsvall W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orji E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea W 95 / 100
Sundsvall W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea W Sundsvall W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Umea W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Sundsvall W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Umea W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea W

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea W
2 : 0
Husqvarna W
26 Sept
Sandviken W
1 : 2
Umea W
23 Sept
Sandviken W
2 : 6
Umea W
20 Sept
Umea W
5 : 1
Enskede W
12 Sept
Hacken B W
0 : 2
Umea W
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Sundsvall W

(Away)
10 Nov
Sundsvall W
1 : 3
Lidkoping W
02 Nov
Mallbacken W
2 : 2
Sundsvall W
19 Oct
Sundsvall W
1 : 1
Alingsas W
12 Oct
Kalmar W
1 : 2
Sundsvall W
05 Oct
Sundsvall W
0 : 3
Umea W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malmo FF W 26 21 2 3 70:23 65
2 Alingsas W 26 18 6 2 67:21 60
3 Umea W 26 16 3 7 56:34 51
4 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 26 15 1 10 48:31 46
5 Bollstanas W 26 13 4 9 46:35 43
6 Sunnana W 26 11 3 12 33:36 36
7 Mallbacken W 26 9 6 11 34:35 33
8 Jitex W 26 9 5 12 48:54 32
9 Eskilstuna United W 26 9 4 13 37:42 31
10 Gamla Upsala W 26 9 3 14 41:48 30
11 Orebro SK W 26 7 5 14 31:47 26
12 Lidkoping W 26 7 4 15 33:68 25
13 Sundsvall W 26 4 8 14 20:51 20
14 Kalmar W 26 5 4 17 25:64 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)