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UMECIT vs Olimpia

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya, San Miguelito
UMECIT Logo

UMECIT

1 - 2
FT
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Peralta H.
Assist: Saldana A.
22' Event
Garcia R.
23'
Oliveira D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
UMECIT
20%
Draws
69%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • UMECIT haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Olimpia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 14%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Olimpia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 12 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
UMECIT vs Olimpia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Enriquez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 27 / 100
Olimpia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UMECIT scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Olimpia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

UMECIT went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UMECIT VS Olimpia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UMECIT

(Home)
06 Aug
UMECIT
1 : 2
Olimpia
02 Aug
Tauro
1 : 1
UMECIT
30 Jul
UMECIT
1 : 2
Saprissa
25 Jul
Alianza
0 : 0
UMECIT
16 May
Plaza Amador
3 : 0
UMECIT
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Olimpia

(Away)
06 Aug
UMECIT
1 : 2
Olimpia
03 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Jul
Olimpia
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
24 Jul
Olimpia
1 : 0
Motagua
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Diriangen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Plaza Amador 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Luis Angel Firpo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Xelaju 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Esteli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Marathon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Herediano 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
5 Antigua 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Saprissa 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Alianza 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 UMECIT 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
5 Deportivo Mixco 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Municipal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Cartagines 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FAS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Verdes 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)