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UMECIT vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya, San Miguelito
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Peralta H.
Assist: Saldana A.
22' Event
Garcia R.
23'
Oliveira D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UMECIT
15%
Draws
42%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • UMECIT haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Olimpia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 11%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Olimpia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 20
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.34 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
UMECIT vs Olimpia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Enriquez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 30 / 100
Olimpia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UMECIT scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Olimpia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UMECIT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UMECIT VS Olimpia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UMECIT

(Home)
03 Oct
San Francisco
0 : 1
UMECIT
26 Sept
Union Deportivo Universitario
2 : 1
UMECIT
22 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 0
Union Cocle
13 Sept
Herrera
1 : 3
UMECIT
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia

(Away)
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)