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UMECIT vs Union Cocle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya, San Miguelito
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Reluz J.
58' Event
Peralta H.
60'
Sub
Castillo Y. In: Lashley W.
Out: Castillo Y.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between UMECIT and Union Cocle finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UMECIT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
UMECIT
30%
Draws
0%
Union Cocle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UMECIT come out ahead of Union Cocle on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on UMECIT taking it.
  • Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors UMECIT here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 68%
Union Cocle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Union Cocle
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.3 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Union Cocle
1:0
May 6, 2026 LPF
Union Cocle vs UMECIT
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Union Cocle
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Union Cocle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 95 / 100
Union Cocle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Union Cocle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMECIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Union Cocle has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: UMECIT scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Union Cocle let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

UMECIT VS Union Cocle
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UMECIT

(Home)
14 Nov
UMECIT
2 : 4
Plaza Amador
07 Nov
UMECIT
2 : 2
Tauro
01 Nov
Sporting San Miguelito
0 : 0
UMECIT
24 Oct
Arabe Unido
1 : 1
UMECIT
18 Oct
UMECIT
2 : 1
Alianza
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Union Cocle

(Away)
14 Nov
Union Cocle
0 : 3
Independiente
07 Nov
San Francisco
2 : 1
Union Cocle
31 Oct
Union Cocle
0 : 2
Union Deportivo Universitario
27 Oct
Veraguas
3 : 0
Union Cocle
18 Oct
Union Cocle
2 : 3
Herrera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 16 11 3 2 40:20 36
2 Arabe Unido 16 7 6 3 20:15 27
3 Tauro 16 7 3 6 26:19 24
4 UMECIT 16 5 7 4 17:17 22
5 Sporting San Miguelito 16 5 5 6 17:18 20
6 Alianza 16 3 6 7 16:25 15
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 16 9 3 4 30:20 30
2 Independiente 16 7 5 4 30:20 26
3 Veraguas 16 6 7 3 28:24 25
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 16 4 5 7 16:18 17
5 Herrera 16 4 2 10 18:39 14
6 Union Cocle 16 1 2 13 11:34 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)