Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umm Al Hassam vs Al Reef - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Gbobie F.

AI Match Summary

Al Reef in this King's Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Umm Al Hassam
15%
Draws
42%
Al Reef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Al Hassam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Umm Al Hassam lately — more wins on the board than Al Reef.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Umm Al Hassam taking it.
  • Umm Al Hassam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Reef, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Umm Al Hassam Clean Sheet 68%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Al Hassam Al Reef
Matches Played 12 13
Wins 4 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 King's Cup
Umm Al Hassam vs Al Reef
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umm Al Hassam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Reef Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbobie F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Al Hassam 86 / 100
Al Reef 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Al Hassam Al Reef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umm Al Hassam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Reef has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Al Reef's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Umm Al Hassam's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Umm Al Hassam VS Al Reef
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm Al Hassam

(Home)
11 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 2
Al Hala
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
2 : 1
East Riffa
14 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 3
Al Shabbab
07 Dec
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Umm Al Hassam
Page 1 of 3

Al Reef

(Away)
12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2
Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6
Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5
Manama Club
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0
Al Reef
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Busaiteen 0
Bahrain SC 4
TBD -
Al Riffa -
East Riffa 2
Ali CSC 0
TBD -
Manama Club -
Tadamun Buri 0
Bouri 1
TBD -
Sitra -
Al Ittifaq 1
Isa Town 0
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Reef 1
TBD -
Al Khalidiyah -
Al Hala 3
Qalali 0
TBD -
Al Najma -
Al Hidd 2
Malkia 1
TBD -
Al Shabbab -
Al Ittihad 2
Al Budaiya 3
TBD -
Al Muharraq -
1/8-finals
Bahrain SC 0
Al Riffa 2
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 0
Bouri 0
Sitra 1
Al Ittifaq 1
Al Ahli 2
Al Reef 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al Hala 3
Al Najma 1
Al Hidd 1
Al Shabbab 2
Al Budaiya 2
Al Muharraq 4
Quarter-finals
Al Riffa 3
East Riffa 2
Sitra 2
Al Ahli 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al Hala 2
Al Shabbab 1
Al Muharraq 2
Semi-finals
Al Riffa 1
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 2
Al Muharraq 0
Final
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 3