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Umm Al Hassam vs Al Shabbab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
53' Event
87' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Umm Al Hassam
15%
Draws
42%
Al Shabbab
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Al Hassam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shabbab lately — more wins on the board than Umm Al Hassam.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Al Shabbab arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Shabbab, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Umm Al Hassam Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shabbab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Al Hassam Al Shabbab
Matches Played 12 38
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 12
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Umm Al Hassam vs Al Shabbab
0:3
Nov 14, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Umm Al Hassam vs Al Shabbab
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Al Hassam 32 / 100
Al Shabbab 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Al Hassam Al Shabbab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabbab let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Al Shabbab's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Umm Al Hassam scored in 33% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Umm Al Hassam VS Al Shabbab
0 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm Al Hassam

(Home)
11 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 2
Al Hala
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
2 : 1
East Riffa
14 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 3
Al Shabbab
07 Dec
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Umm Al Hassam
Page 1 of 3

Al Shabbab

(Away)
15 May
Al Hidd
1 : 0
Al Shabbab
10 May
Al Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al Shabbab
28 Apr
Al Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al Shabbab
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabbab 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Al Khalidiyah 5 3 2 0 20:4 11
3 East Riffa 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 4 2 0 2 4:14 6
5 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
6 Al Ittifaq 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Al Hidd 5 3 1 1 8:1 10
3 Bouri 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
4 Ali CSC 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Al Reef 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Malkia 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Al Budaiya 5 3 1 1 9:9 10
4 Al Najma 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Sitra 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
6 Al Ittihad 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Busaiteen 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Al Ahli 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Isa Town 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
5 Bahrain SC 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
6 Qalali 4 1 0 3 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)