Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Umm Mughad lately — more wins on the board than Ahli Khartoum.
- Win probability leans Umm Mughad's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 20%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm Mughad | Ahli Khartoum |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Umm Mughad
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Ahli Khartoum
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm Mughad 49 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm Mughad Ahli Khartoum
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Umm Mughad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Umm Mughad scored in 78% of their last 23 games.
Ahli Khartoum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Ahli Khartoum's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Umm Mughad VS Ahli Khartoum
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm Mughad
(Home) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
15 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Hay Al Wadi
04 Feb
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 3
Ahli Khartoum
(Away) 13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 6
23 Jan
Al Hilal Manaqil
3 : 1 Ahli Khartoum
20 Jan
Umm Mughad
2 : 2 Ahli Khartoum
16 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
12 Jan
Rabita Kosti
1 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
07 Jan
Madani
3 : 0 Ahli Khartoum
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
