Sport Picks
Umm Mughad vs Merikh Kosti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sudan
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Umm Mughad and Merikh Kosti finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm Mughad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Umm Mughad carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 20%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm Mughad | Merikh Kosti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Umm Mughad
0:2
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Merikh Kosti
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm Mughad 32 / 100
Merikh Kosti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm Mughad Merikh Kosti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merikh Kosti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Umm Mughad scored in 78% of their last 23 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Merikh Kosti's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Umm Mughad VS Merikh Kosti
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm Mughad
(Home) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al Hilal Omdurman II
15 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Hay Al Wadi
04 Feb
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 3
Merikh Kosti
(Away) 13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
10 Feb
Merikh Kosti
2 : 3 Madani
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0 Merikh Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2 Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0 Merikh Kosti
23 Jan
Umm Mughad
4 : 0 Merikh Kosti
19 Jan
Madani
2 : 0 Merikh Kosti
08 Jan
Rabita Kosti
1 : 0 Merikh Kosti
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
