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Umm Mughad vs Rabita Kosti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Umm Mughad Logo

Umm Mughad

2 - 0
FT
Rabita Kosti Logo

Rabita Kosti

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Umm Mughad and Rabita Kosti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm Mughad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Umm Mughad
15%
Draws
34%
Rabita Kosti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Umm Mughad come out ahead of Rabita Kosti on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 20%
Rabita Kosti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Mughad Rabita Kosti
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.43 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Rabita Kosti
2:0
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Rabita Kosti vs Umm Mughad
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Mughad 32 / 100
Rabita Kosti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Mughad Rabita Kosti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm Mughad scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Rabita Kosti has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Rabita Kosti registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umm Mughad VS Rabita Kosti
2 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm Mughad

(Home)
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1
Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0
Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1
Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3
Al Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5

Rabita Kosti

(Away)
14 Feb
Madani
4 : 1
Rabita Kosti
08 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
1 : 1
Rabita Kosti
04 Feb
Umm Mughad
2 : 0
Rabita Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0
Rabita Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)