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Umm Mughad vs Tuti

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Wed, Jan 15, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umm Mughad host Tuti in the Premier League 2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Tuti have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Umm Mughad have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Umm Mughad slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.00) back Umm Mughad to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Umm Mughad
15%
Draws
0%
Tuti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Umm Mughad lately — more wins on the board than Tuti.
  • Win probability leans Tuti's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 20%
Tuti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Mughad Tuti
Matches Played 23 22
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.43 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Tuti
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Mughad 20 / 100
Tuti 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Mughad Tuti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuti has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Away concern: Tuti has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Umm Mughad found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (23 games).

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Umm Mughad VS Tuti
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm Mughad

(Home)
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1
Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0
Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1
Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5

Tuti

(Away)
04 Apr
Tuti
1 : 2
Kober
31 Mar
Ahli Khartoum
2 : 0
Tuti
25 Mar
Hilal El-Fasher
2 : 0
Tuti
22 Mar
Haidob Al Nuhod
1 : 0
Tuti
16 Mar
Tuti
1 : 2
Wad Nobawi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Mergheni 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Hilal Alsahil 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
3 Al Shorta 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
4 Al Hilal Manaqil 8 2 3 3 8:7 9
5 Hay al-Arab 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
6 Wad Nobawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Zamala Ruwaba 10 4 5 1 16:11 17
3 Rabita Kosti 10 3 5 2 8:9 14
4 Hilal El-Fasher 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
5 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Merikh Nyala 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hay Al Wadi 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Umm Mughad 6 1 5 0 5:4 8
3 Al-Ahly Merowe 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Kober 6 1 1 4 3:6 4
5 Al Zoma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Tuti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 Alamal SC Atbara 8 3 5 0 11:7 14
3 Ahli Khartoum 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
4 Alfalah Atbra 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
5 Ahli Shendi 8 1 2 5 2:7 5
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)