Sport Picks
Umm-Salal vs Al Kharitiyath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
47'
47'
Sakota M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Umm-Salal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Kharitiyath have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Umm-Salal are scoring more at 1.83.
- Al Kharitiyath are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Umm-Salal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Kharitiyath Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm-Salal | Al Kharitiyath |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Kharitiyath
1:0
Apr 15, 2022 QFA Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Kharitiyath
0:4
Mar 11, 2021 QSL
Al Kharitiyath vs Umm-Salal
3:0
Dec 9, 2020 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Kharitiyath
1:0
Nov 3, 2020 QSL Cup
Al Kharitiyath vs Umm-Salal
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umm-Salal Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakota M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Kharitiyath Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm-Salal 28 / 100
Al Kharitiyath 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm-Salal Al Kharitiyath
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Kharitiyath Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Umm-Salal scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Al Kharitiyath let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Umm-Salal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Umm-Salal VS Al Kharitiyath
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm-Salal
(Home) 29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2 Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3 Al Ahli
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0 Al Bidda
Page 1 of 3
Al Kharitiyath
(Away) 28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1 Al Wakra
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1 Al Khor
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al Kharitiyath
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
08 May
Al Shahaniya
3 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
25 Apr
Muaither SC
1 : 2 Al Kharitiyath
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Duhail | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Umm-Salal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Qatar SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lusail | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Waab | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Muaither SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shahaniya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Rayyan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Ahli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Markhiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Kharitiyath | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Mesaimeer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Khor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Bidda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)
