Sport Picks
Umm-Salal vs Muaither SC
Qatar
QSL Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
18'
18'
Penalty Missed
19'
19'
El Sayed A.
27'
27'
Afif A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Muaither SC in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Muaither SC have won more games recently than Umm-Salal.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Muaither SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Muaither SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm-Salal | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2025 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Muaither SC
2:3
Mar 29, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Muaither SC
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Umm-Salal
3:4
Nov 2, 2023 QSL
Muaither SC vs Umm-Salal
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 QFA Cup
Muaither SC vs Umm-Salal
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umm-Salal Compare
Top Goalscorer El Sayed A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Muaither SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Dokali S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ramis Luque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm-Salal 32 / 100
Muaither SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm-Salal Muaither SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Umm-Salal scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Muaither SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Muaither SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Umm-Salal VS Muaither SC
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm-Salal
(Home) 01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1 Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3 Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0 Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2 Umm-Salal
28 Mar
Al Rayyan
4 : 3 Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3 Al Ahli
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0 Al Bidda
18 Mar
Umm-Salal
0 : 0 Qatar SC
27 Feb
Umm-Salal
2 : 2 Al Wakra
04 Feb
Umm-Salal
2 : 1 Al-Duhail
Page 1 of 3
Muaither SC
(Away) 28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
25 Apr
Muaither SC
1 : 2 Al-Kharitiyath
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4 Muaither SC
15 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4 Muaither SC
15 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0 Muaither SC
05 Apr
Al Markhiya
3 : 4 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
