Sport Picks
Umm-Salal vs Muaither SC
Qatar
QSL Cup 2025/2026 Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
18'
18'
Penalty Missed
19'
19'
El Sayed A.
27'
27'
Afif A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Muaither SC in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muaither SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Muaither SC have won more games recently than Umm-Salal.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Muaither SC taking it.
- Muaither SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Muaither SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm-Salal | Muaither SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2025 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Muaither SC
2:3
Mar 29, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Muaither SC
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Umm-Salal
3:4
Nov 2, 2023 QSL
Muaither SC vs Umm-Salal
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 QFA Cup
Muaither SC vs Umm-Salal
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umm-Salal Compare
Top Goalscorer El Sayed A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Muaither SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Dokali S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Luque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm-Salal 10 / 100
Muaither SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm-Salal Muaither SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Muaither SC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Umm-Salal found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Umm-Salal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Umm-Salal VS Muaither SC
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm-Salal
(Home) 21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al-Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
08 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0 Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al-Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3 Al Ahli
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0 Al Bidda
Page 1 of 4
Muaither SC
(Away) 22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0 Al Khor
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1 Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1 Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1 Muaither SC
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
