Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umm-Salal vs Qatar U23

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2
Umm-Salal Logo

Umm-Salal

Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Qatar U23 Logo

Qatar U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umm-Salal host Qatar U23 in the QSL 2. Qatar U23 are expected to control this from the start. Umm-Salal have averaged 1.93 scored and 2.33 conceded recently, against Qatar U23's 1.48 scored and 1.24 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Qatar U23 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Umm-Salal
15%
Draws
85%
Qatar U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qatar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Qatar U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Qatar U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular QSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm-Salal Qatar U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm-Salal 10 / 100
Qatar U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm-Salal Qatar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm-Salal found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Qatar U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Qatar U23 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umm-Salal VS Qatar U23
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm-Salal

(Home)
08 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Umm-Salal
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Qatar U23

(Away)
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
13 May
Qatar U23
1 : 3
Oman U23
11 May
Qatar U23
2 : 1
Oman U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umm-Salal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Khor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Markhiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al-Kharitiyath 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Qatar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Muaither SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Mesaimeer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al-Gharafa 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Rayyan 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shamal 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Bidda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al-Waab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - QSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - QSL (Relegation)