Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umraniyespor vs Erokspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Alic E.
46'
Sub
Zeqiri A. In: Erdogan Y.
Out: Zeqiri A.
55'
Sub
Yazgan F. In: Okyar M.
Out: Yazgan F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Umraniyespor
30%
Draws
23%
Erokspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Umraniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erokspor lately — more wins on the board than Umraniyespor.
  • Model gives Umraniyespor a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 20%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Erokspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Erokspor
1:1
Feb 2, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Umraniyespor
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Erokspor
0:2
Apr 14, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Erokspor
1:1
Dec 9, 2024 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Umraniyespor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Soukou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Erokspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 58 / 100
Erokspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Erokspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umraniyespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Erokspor let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Erokspor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Erokspor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6

Erokspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)