Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Ozdemir T.
41'
Tasdemir E.
46'
Sub
Ozdemir T. In: Hostikka S.
Out: Ozdemir T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Umraniyespor
30%
Draws
39%
Mardin 1969
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Umraniyespor haven't matched Mardin 1969's recent run of results.
  • Umraniyespor are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 15%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Mardin 1969
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 35 / 100
Mardin 1969 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Mardin 1969

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umraniyespor scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Mardin 1969 conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Umraniyespor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Mardin 1969
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6

Mardin 1969

(Away)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)