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Umraniyespor vs Sariyer Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor host Sariyer in the 1. Lig. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Umraniyespor at 1.21 goals for, 1.34 against; Sariyer at 1.31 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Umraniyespor slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back Sariyer to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Umraniyespor
20%
Draws
57%
Sariyer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sariyer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Umraniyespor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 14%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Sariyer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Umraniyespor
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Sariyer
1:3
Mar 11, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Umraniyespor vs Sariyer
1:0
Oct 30, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Sariyer vs Umraniyespor
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 35 / 100
Sariyer 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Sariyer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sariyer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sariyer has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Umraniyespor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Sariyer
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6

Sariyer

(Away)
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 0
Pendikspor
28 Aug
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)