Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNA vs ASWH

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
2 - 0
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between UNA and ASWH finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
UNA
30%
Draws
12%
ASWH
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UNA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • ASWH haven't matched UNA's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on UNA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
UNA Clean Sheet 18%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA ASWH
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.41 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs ASWH
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs UNA
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
UNA vs ASWH
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs UNA
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 85 / 100
ASWH 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA ASWH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

ASWH's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: UNA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS ASWH
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1
UNA
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
30 Jun
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
UNA
23 May
UNA
1 : 2
Meerssen
16 May
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 3
UNA
Page 1 of 6

ASWH

(Away)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)