Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNA vs Gemert

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemert in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
UNA
35%
Draws
38%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert have won more games recently than UNA.
  • Win probability leans Gemert's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
UNA Clean Sheet 10%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA Gemert
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.41 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Gemert
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs UNA
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs UNA
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Gemert
3:2
Feb 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs UNA
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 22 / 100
Gemert 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gemert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

UNA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS Gemert
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1
UNA
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
30 Jun
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
UNA
23 May
UNA
1 : 2
Meerssen
16 May
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 3
UNA
Page 1 of 6

Gemert

(Away)
23 Aug
Gemert
2 : 2
GOES
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Gemert
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1
Helmond Sport
23 May
GOES
3 : 3
Gemert
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1
SteDoCo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)