Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNA vs GVV Unitas

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
van den Akker M.
7' Event
Versluis R.
15' Event
Respen J.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2023/2024 game between UNA and GVV Unitas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UNA
30%
Draws
41%
GVV Unitas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GVV Unitas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNA come out ahead of GVV Unitas on wins alone.
  • UNA are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UNA have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
UNA Clean Sheet 18%
GVV Unitas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA GVV Unitas
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 14 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs GVV Unitas
3:2
Oct 7, 2023 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs UNA
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs UNA
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Derde Divisie
UNA vs GVV Unitas
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs UNA
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNA Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Akker M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Respen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

GVV Unitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Versluis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 40 / 100
GVV Unitas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA GVV Unitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNA scored in 90% of their last 39 outings.

GVV Unitas let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

UNA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1
EVV
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1
UNA
Page 1 of 8

GVV Unitas

(Away)
15 Jun
Rohda Raalte
4 : 0
GVV Unitas
12 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
GVV Unitas
08 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 0
GVV Unitas
05 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 2
FC 's-Gravenzande
01 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 1
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)