Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNA vs Lisse

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
0 - 2
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between UNA and Lisse finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
UNA
20%
Draws
60%
Lisse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lisse come out ahead of UNA on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lisse a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
UNA Clean Sheet 12%
Lisse Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA Lisse
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Lisse
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs UNA
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs UNA
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Lisse
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 10 / 100
Lisse 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA Lisse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

UNA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lisse let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS Lisse
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1
UNA
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
30 Jun
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
UNA
23 May
UNA
1 : 2
Meerssen
16 May
RKSV UDI 19
1 : 3
UNA
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Lisse

(Away)
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1
Lisse
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2
Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1
Achilles Veen
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0
TOGB
04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1
Katwijk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)