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Unai EC vs Santa Maria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Unai EC
15%
Draws
0%
Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unai EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Unai EC have won more games recently than Santa Maria.
  • Unai EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unai EC Santa Maria
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.57 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
1:2
Feb 27, 2021 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Unai EC
0:1
Mar 13, 2019 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
2:0
Feb 18, 2018 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
3:1
Feb 5, 2017 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unai EC 83 / 100
Santa Maria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unai EC Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unai EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Santa Maria registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Unai EC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Unai EC VS Santa Maria
2 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Unai EC

(Home)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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Santa Maria

(Away)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)