Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Garcia S.
70' Event
Parra B.
79' Event
Borges K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres UANL U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UNAM Pumas U21
40%
Draws
29%
Tigres UANL U21
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas U21 average 2.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Tigres UANL U21's 0.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tigres UANL U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Tigres UANL U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
0:2
Nov 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Tigres UANL U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Parra B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 32 / 100
Tigres UANL U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Tigres UANL U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas U21 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Tigres UANL U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

UNAM Pumas U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Tigres UANL U21
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santos Laguna U211
Juarez U210
Cruz Azul U214
Toluca U211
Tigres UANL U213
Guadalajara Chivas U213
Pachuca U213
UNAM Pumas U214
Semi-finals
Santos Laguna U212
Cruz Azul U212
Tigres UANL U212
UNAM Pumas U213
Final
Santos Laguna U213
UNAM Pumas U214