Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Nathan Silva
56' Event
Carrillo J.
62'
Kenedy R.

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas in this Liga MX 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UNAM Pumas
15%
Draws
28%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • UNAM Pumas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Pachuca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pachuca, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Pachuca
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
0:3
May 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
1:0
May 15, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pachuca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 40 / 100
Pachuca 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Pachuca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pachuca registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Pachuca
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
08 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
05 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
01 Aug
Juarez
1 : 5
UNAM Pumas
22 Jul
Toluca
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca

(Away)
07 Aug
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Pachuca
04 Aug
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1
Pachuca
02 Aug
Club Leon
1 : 0
Pachuca
27 Jul
Pachuca
1 : 2
Queretaro
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
UNAM Pumas 6
Club America 6
Pachuca 3
Toluca 0
Guadalajara Chivas 3
Tigres UANL 3
Cruz Azul 4
Atlas 2
Semi-finals
UNAM Pumas 1
Pachuca 1
Guadalajara Chivas 3
Cruz Azul 4
Final
UNAM Pumas 1
Cruz Azul 2