Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Montiel E.
32' Event
Rondon S.
Assist: Idrissi O.
46'
Sub
Garcia S. In: Arteaga V.
Out: Garcia S.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
UNAM Pumas
11%
Draws
80%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pachuca have won more games recently than UNAM Pumas.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 19%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Pachuca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
0:3
May 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
1:0
May 15, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Montiel E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 12 / 100
Pachuca 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNAM Pumas scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Pachuca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: UNAM Pumas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Pachuca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
22 Jul
Toluca
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
05 Jul
Cancun
0 : 3
UNAM Pumas
25 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
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Pachuca

(Away)
27 Jul
Pachuca
1 : 2
Queretaro
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
18 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 0
Pachuca
15 May
Pachuca
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Tijuana22004:16
2Cruz Azul22005:36
3Atlas22004:26
4Necaxa22004:26
5Club America21102:14
6Pachuca21014:23
7Toluca21013:23
8Monterrey21014:43
9Puebla21012:23
10Queretaro21012:23
11Guadalajara Chivas21011:23
12UNAM Pumas21012:43
13Atletico San Luis20114:51
14Atlante20112:31
15Tigres UANL20113:51
16Santos Laguna20022:40
17Club Leon20022:40
18Juarez20020:20
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)