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UNAN-Managua vs Diriangen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Brenes A.
27' Event
Coronel L.
74' Event
Rocha D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between UNAN-Managua and Diriangen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
UNAN-Managua
15%
Draws
50%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diriangen come out ahead of UNAN-Managua on wins alone.
  • Diriangen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Diriangen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 23%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Diriangen
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.24 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs UNAN-Managua
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Diriangen
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs UNAN-Managua
3:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs UNAN-Managua
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Diriangen
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 24 / 100
Diriangen 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

UNAN-Managua's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Diriangen conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

UNAN-Managua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Diriangen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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Diriangen

(Away)
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 12 3 3 40:19 39
2 Esteli 18 11 4 3 41:19 37
3 Jalapa 18 9 6 3 29:16 33
4 Managua FC 18 8 5 5 22:18 29
5 Matagalpa 18 5 7 6 30:24 22
6 Walter Ferreti 18 5 6 7 18:28 21
7 Sport Sebaco 18 6 2 10 23:24 20
8 UNAN-Managua 18 4 4 10 21:34 16
9 Rancho Santana 18 4 4 10 20:43 16
10 Real Madriz 18 4 3 11 14:33 15
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)