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UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Salinas B.
27' Event
Calderon J.
34' Event
Rosales O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between UNAN-Managua and Jalapa finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jalapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
UNAN-Managua
20%
Draws
15%
Jalapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UNAN-Managua are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Jalapa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
2:1
Apr 8, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
2:4
Feb 9, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua
0:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderon J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salinas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 76 / 100
Jalapa 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Jalapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

UNAN-Managua's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jalapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

UNAN-Managua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Jalapa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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Jalapa

(Away)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 12 3 3 40:19 39
2 Esteli 18 11 4 3 41:19 37
3 Jalapa 18 9 6 3 29:16 33
4 Managua FC 18 8 5 5 22:18 29
5 Matagalpa 18 5 7 6 30:24 22
6 Walter Ferreti 18 5 6 7 18:28 21
7 Sport Sebaco 18 6 2 10 23:24 20
8 UNAN-Managua 18 4 4 10 21:34 16
9 Rancho Santana 18 4 4 10 20:43 16
10 Real Madriz 18 4 3 11 14:33 15
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)