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UNDEBA vs Jong Holland

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Sun, Mar 10, 2024
VS
11:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNDEBA host Jong Holland in the Promé Divishon. This one's hard to separate. Jong Holland have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while UNDEBA have conceded 2.22 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, UNDEBA have won 0 to Jong Holland's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.44, favoring Jong Holland. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
UNDEBA
20%
Draws
47%
Jong Holland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Holland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Holland lately — more wins on the board than UNDEBA.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Promé Divishon form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
UNDEBA Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Holland Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNDEBA Jong Holland
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Jong Holland
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs UNDEBA
8:2
Jul 2, 2022 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Jong Holland
1:1
Mar 28, 2022 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs UNDEBA
4:1
Oct 24, 2021 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Jong Holland
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNDEBA 30 / 100
Jong Holland 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNDEBA Jong Holland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNDEBA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

UNDEBA found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Jong Holland conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

UNDEBA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNDEBA VS Jong Holland
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UNDEBA

(Home)
17 Feb
Jong Colombia
3 : 0
UNDEBA
20 Jan
CSD Barber
3 : 4
UNDEBA
14 Jan
UNDEBA
4 : 2
Salina
16 Dec
Centro Dominguito
2 : 2
UNDEBA
10 Dec
UNDEBA
2 : 3
SUBT
Page 1 of 6

Jong Holland

(Away)
30 Jul
Arnett Gardens
7 : 1
Jong Holland
28 Jul
Jong Holland
3 : 0
BAYS
18 Feb
Victory Boys
0 : 0
Jong Holland
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
13 Jan
Jong Holland
2 : 0
SUBT
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)